FXUS64 KSJT 241159

AFDSJT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service San Angelo TX

659 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026



...New AVIATION...



.KEY MESSAGES... 



- Dry and warm conditions expected today, with above normal

  temperatures. 



- Continued warm temperatures are expected this weekend through 

  the first half of next week.



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(Today and tonight)

Issued at 310 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026



Dry and very warm conditions are expected across the area today. 

A surface low will track east along the Red River today, with a  

dryline mixing east across the forecast area. By late afternoon, 

the dryline is expected to be situated over far southeast portions

of the forecast area. SPC day one outlook has a marginal risk 

over eastern portions of San Saba and Brown counties for this 

afternoon, just east of the dryline. While an isolated thunderstorm

cannot be ruled out along the dryline during peak heating, large 

scale forcing is lacking and CAM's are pretty much dry, so will 

keep POPs below mentionable values today. However, if a storm can 

develop, it will likely be severe, with large hail the main 

hazard. A better risk for thunderstorms and severe weather will 

remain east of the area today. Temperatures will be around 10 

degrees warmer than normal for this time of year, with afternoon 

highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s. 



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Saturday night through next Friday)

Issued at 1156 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026



The forecast continues to look warmer than normal with generally 

low chances for showers and thunderstorms through the next several

days. Models continue to show mainly zonal flow to start the 

weekend, eventually becoming southwesterly by Sunday. Generally 

southwesterly flow will persist through the first half of the 

week. This will keep our weather similar to what we experienced 

Thursday. Generally south to southwesterly surface winds with a 

dryline moving into the western half of the area most afternoons. 

The dryline, combined with a weak shortwave moving through could 

be enough to spark isolated showers or thunderstorms for areas 

south of I-20 Sunday night, but confidence is low in this outcome.

Otherwise, look for highs mainly in the 90s, lows mainly in the 

60s, and partly cloudy to mostly clear skies through Tuesday. 



Models continue to be in relatively good agreement with respect 

to a cold front moving in by the middle of next week. This will 

bring the best chance for precipitation to the area through the 

next several days, with low to medium (20% to 40%) chances for 

showers and thunderstorms into the area from Wednesday into 

Thursday. Temperatures will be slightly cooler following the front

with highs dropping into the upper 70s to mid 80s on Thursday. 



&&



.AVIATION...

(12Z TAFS)

Issued at 655 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026



Stratus has developed across the southern terminals early this

morning and will persist through mid to late morning before

scattering out to VFR. Mainly expecting MVFR ceilings except 

for KSOA where some IFR ceilings will occur. Winds will be

southwesterly early this morning, then veer to the west and

northwest by mid to late morning as a dryline moves through. 

VFR expected for much of tonight, then stratus returns to the

southern terminals towards daybreak Saturday.  



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Abilene     91  62  94  68 /   0   0   0   0 

San Angelo  92  62  94  67 /   0   0   0   0 

Junction    92  65  94  65 /   0   0   0   0 

Brownwood   90  62  91  66 /   0   0   0   0 

Sweetwater  91  62  96  67 /   0   0   0   0 

Ozona       92  65  93  67 /   0   0   0   0 

Brady       90  65  91  67 /  10   0   0   0 



&&



.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.

&&



$$



SHORT TERM...24

LONG TERM....20

AVIATION...24