FNUS76 KMFR 200115

FWSMFR



Spot Forecast for Bly Ridge WUI...USFS

National Weather Service MEDFORD OR

615 PM PDT Sun Apr 19 2026



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PDT on April 20. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...A slow moving low pressure system will bring showers 

and gusty winds during the spot forecast period. Daytime highs cool

slightly on Monday, with gusty afternoon and evening winds. Isolated

showers are possible overnight, but with higher chances into 

Tuesday. Slight chances for embedded thunderstorms are present on

Tuesday afternoon and evening. Showers ease on Wednesday, with 

another round of gusty winds possible in the afternoon and evening.

Warm and dry conditions are forecast on Thursday, continuing into

the weekend.



.MONDAY...



Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Very slight chance (10-15%) of

					isolated late afternoon showers.

Max temperature.....62 to 65 degrees.

Min humidity........24 to 27 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Southeast at 5 to 7 mph becoming south at

					15 to 17 mph with afternoon gusts up to 

					33 mph.

Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....South at 10 to 12 mph becoming south at

					28 to 30 mph in the afternoon. 

CWR.................0 percent. 



.MONDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. 30-40% chance of rain into

					early Tuesday morning.

Min temperature.....38 to 40 degrees.

Max humidity........84 to 87 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........South at 12 to 15 mph with evening gusts up to

					30 mph becoming variable at 4 to 6 mph

					overnight before settling at south at

					5 to 7 mph early Tuesday morning.					

Mixing height.......100 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....South at 22 to 24 mph becoming south at

					10 to 12 mph early Tuesday morning.

CWR.................5 percent. 



.TUESDAY...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. 70% chance of morning showers

					increasing to 90% in the afternoon.

Max temperature.....50 to 53 degrees.

Min humidity........57 to 60 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........South at 7 to 9 mph becoming southwest at

					8 to 10 mph with afternoon gusts up to

					20 mph.

Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....South at 10 to 12 mph becoming southwest at

					13 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

CWR.................65 percent. 



$$

Forecaster...DALDRUP

Requested by...Jose J. Castillo Jr.

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2610611.1/MFR

.DELDT 04/20/26

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL michelle.henry@usda.gov,jose.castillo@usda.gov