FGUS51 KTAR 260041

RVFBUF

RIVER FORECAST

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA

0841 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026

:

:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.

:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.

:

:************************************************************

:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY 

:Flood stage 8.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 5.3 FT at Apr-25 0800 PM 

.ER ATTN6 20260426 E DC202604252041/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0425:                          /   4.5 

.E2  :0426:  /   4.3 /   4.1 /   4.0 /   3.9 

.E3  :0427:  /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.8 

.E4  :0428:  /   3.8 /   3.7 /   3.8 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.04/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY 

:Flood stage 12.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Apr-25 0800 PM 

.ER RAPN6 20260426 E DC202604252041/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0425:                          /   3.9 

.E2  :0426:  /   3.8 /   3.7 /   4.0 /   4.6 

.E3  :0427:  /   5.2 /   5.7 /   5.9 /   5.9 

.E4  :0428:  /   5.6 /   5.2 /   4.8 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.04/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY 

:Flood stage 10.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 5.3 FT at Apr-25 0815 PM 

.ER GOWN6 20260426 E DC202604252041/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0425:                          /   5.8 

.E2  :0426:  /   4.9 /   4.7 /   4.6 /   4.3 

.E3  :0427:  /   3.9 /   3.7 /   3.6 /   3.4 

.E4  :0428:  /   3.3 /   3.2 /   3.1 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.05/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY 

:Flood stage 7.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 4.3 FT at Apr-25 0815 PM 

.ER GDVN6 20260426 E DC202604252041/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0425:                          /   3.2 

.E2  :0426:  /   2.9 /   2.7 /   2.5 /   2.4 

.E3  :0427:  /   2.3 /   2.2 /   2.0 /   1.9 

.E4  :0428:  /   1.8 /   1.7 /   1.7 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.04/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY 

:Flood stage 8.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 6.4 FT at Apr-25 0730 PM 

.ER LCSN6 20260426 E DC202604252041/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0425:                          /   5.4 

.E2  :0426:  /   5.2 /   5.1 /   5.0 /   4.9 

.E3  :0427:  /   4.9 /   4.7 /   4.6 /   4.5 

.E4  :0428:  /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.3 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.04/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY 

:Flood stage 10.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 5.6 FT at Apr-25 0800 PM 

.ER EBZN6 20260426 E DC202604252041/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0425:                          /   5.9 

.E2  :0426:  /   5.8 /   5.5 /   5.2 /   4.9 

.E3  :0427:  /   4.6 /   4.4 /   4.1 /   3.8 

.E4  :0428:  /   3.6 /   3.5 /   3.4 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.04/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Genesee River - Portageville, NY 

:Flood stage 19.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 13.0 FT at Apr-25 0800 PM 

.ER PRTN6 20260426 E DC202604252041/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0425:                          /  13.1 

.E2  :0426:  /  13.1 /  12.9 /  12.6 /  12.4 

.E3  :0427:  /  12.1 /  11.8 /  11.6 /  11.3 

.E4  :0428:  /  11.0 /  10.9 /  10.8 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 

:

:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION

:************************************************************

:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY 

:Flood stage 760.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 631.3 FT at Apr-25 0800 PM 

.ER MMDN6 20260426 E DC202604252041/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0425:                          / 633.8 

.E2  :0426:  / 636.8 / 639.5 / 641.7 / 643.6 

.E3  :0427:  / 645.0 / 646.1 / 647.0 / 647.6 

.E4  :0428:  / 648.1 / 648.3 / 648.4 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Genesee River - Avon, NY 

:Flood stage 33.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 29.9 FT at Apr-25 0815 PM 

:Crest near 30.2 FT around 8AM EDT ON 04/26/2026

.ER AVON6 20260426 E DC202604252041/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0425:                          /  30.1 

.E2  :0426:  /  30.2 /  29.7 /  28.9 /  27.8 

.E3  :0427:  /  27.2 /  26.6 /  26.1 /  25.7 

.E4  :0428:  /  25.3 /  25.0 /  24.8 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 

:

:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION

:************************************************************

:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY 

:Flood stage 6.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 4.1 FT at Apr-25 0800 PM 

.ER GRBN6 20260426 E DC202604252041/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0425:                          /   4.4 

.E2  :0426:  /   4.7 /   4.9 /   5.0 /   4.9 

.E3  :0427:  /   4.8 /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.3 

.E4  :0428:  /   4.1 /   4.0 /   3.9 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Black Creek - Churchville, NY 

:Flood stage 6.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 3.9 FT at Apr-25 0800 PM 

.ER CHRN6 20260426 E DC202604252041/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0425:                          /   4.4 

.E2  :0426:  /   4.7 /   4.8 /   4.9 /   4.8 

.E3  :0427:  /   4.6 /   4.4 /   4.2 /   4.0 

.E4  :0428:  /   3.8 /   3.6 /   3.5 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.06/ 

:

:************************************************************

:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY 

:Flood stage 690.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 689.0 FT at Apr-25 0815 PM 

.ER CNDN6 20260426 E DC202604252041/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM 

.E1  :0425:                          / 689.1 

.E2  :0426:  / 689.1 / 689.1 / 689.1 / 689.1 

.E3  :0427:  / 689.1 / 689.1 / 689.1 / 689.1 

.E4  :0428:  / 689.1 / 689.1 / 689.1 

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:   0.11/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 

:

:*******************************************************************

:

:

$$

:NERFC

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