ACUS11 KWNS 250753 SWOMCD SPC MCD 250752 MSZ000-LAZ000-250915- Mesoscale Discussion 0526 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0252 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026 Areas affected...Central and southern Mississippi and a small part of southeast Louisiana Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 250752Z - 250915Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...An organized storm cluster will pose a threat for strong outflow gusts and some wind damage, and there is some potential for a severe thunderstorm watch. DISCUSSION...A storm cluster in west central MS has developed some bowing characteristics and a comma head structure over the past 60-90 minutes while moving southeastward at 35 kt. The storms are moving along the buoyancy gradient, slightly into rain-cooled air from other convection earlier tonight. There is enough line-normal shear to help maintain upright convection along the gust front, and buoyancy is sufficient for the storms to persist for the next several hours. The magnitude of the wind-damage threat is in question given recent radar velocities in the 35-50 kt range, storm motion of about 35 kt, and a measured 37 kt outflow gust. All told, there are mixed signals regarding the need for a watch, but this area will continue to be monitored. ..Thompson/Gleason.. 04/25/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX... LAT...LON 30828905 30679005 30939082 31149097 31389099 31499047 31798992 32338962 32258915 31958870 31518859 30828905 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN