ACUS11 KWNS 032210

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 032210 

MNZ000-NDZ000-040015-



Mesoscale Discussion 0972

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0510 PM CDT Wed Jun 03 2026



Areas affected...Northeast ND into northwest MN



Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 



Valid 032210Z - 040015Z



Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent



SUMMARY...Strong to locally severe storms may increase into the

evening.



DISCUSSION...Storms are gradually increasing in coverage and

intensity late this afternoon across eastern ND, along east of a

surface trough. A mid/upper-level shortwave trough/low moving across

the Canadian Prairies will help to sustain this convection into the

evening, with storms expected to spread across parts of northeast ND

into northwest MN. While both low-level and deep-layer shear will

tend to be stronger across the area covered by WW 271, moderate

buoyancy (MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg) and effective shear of 25-35 kt

will support occasional storm organization, including potential for

hail, localized strong/damaging gusts, and possibly a brief tornado.



While the magnitude and coverage of the severe threat across

northeast ND/northwest MN is expected to be less than areas farther

south, and additional watch issuance is considered unlikely, trends

will be monitored for an uptick in storm coverage/intensity into the

early evening.



..Dean/Guyer.. 06/03/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...FGF...



LAT...LON   47739532 47809707 47809752 47819812 47989832 48299857

            48669890 48889883 49099857 49049737 49019568 48949512

            48619494 48349495 47739519 47739532 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN